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Business valuation is a rather complicated and expensive procedure, but sometimes it becomes the only right step before making strategically important decisions. When it becomes necessary to evaluate a business, what evaluation methods exist, and how to get the maximum benefit for the business from the evaluation, you will learn in the article.
Let's make an analogy. If you are going to buy or sell a house with a plot, what do you make first? That's right - you are looking through advertisements for the sale of similar houses in selected areas in order to "ask the price", assign the right price to the house, based on the market situation and your expectations.
In fact, you will determine the price of assets (house and land) by comparing indicators such as:
With business, things are the same, with the only difference that it is impossible to find two at least approximately identical businesses. Even a typical coffee shop will have its own unique characteristics: traffic, coffee quality, team qualifications and motivation, interior design, etc.
Let's start with those cases where the obligation to evaluate a business is prescribed by law. According to you, you are obliged to conduct a business valuation in the following cases:
Those who voluntarily evaluate a business:
Why do we need an assessment? Moving on to the section: How to evaluate a business?
Let's go back to the home buying analogy. There are three ways to evaluate a house:
So, the same methods are used to evaluate a business. Let's consider each of them in more detail.
Business appraisal methodology that suits the owner
The methodology for assessing a business should be chosen based on the specific goals of the owner. See - five ways to assess the value of a business, in case the owner buys or sells:
- a publicly traded company;
- share to society;
- operating business;
- additional infrastructure for your own business;
- an organization on the verge of liquidation or bankruptcy.
It is based on determining the value of an object by searching for similar objects and applying corrective factors to them.
Subdivided into:
The method of a company-analogue assumes the choice of similar companies being assessed in the formed stock market, and the method of transactions, as a special case of the method of a company-analogue, operates in the market of mergers and acquisitions.
The assessment algorithm for these two methods is similar:
The business owner will do everything possible to inflate the sale value as much as possible. But even if the time allotted for the deal is not enough for a full-fledged due diligence, the CFO of the buying enterprise has every chance to find the catch and insure himself against fraud. It is enough to know the common and most popular techniques used by salespeople in order to embellish the real state of affairs in the company.
The method of industry coefficients is more widely used in Western markets, as there is a wider knowledge base and accumulated experience in transactions with the purchase and sale of companies by industry. Industry ratios are ready-made multiples calculated for companies in a specific industry.
The industry ratios method is suitable for rapid appraisal of small businesses and does not require an appraiser because it is easy to use. For example, it is known that the MIN multiplier for monthly revenue for a home appliance store is 1, and MAX is 2.
This means that it is possible to sell a home appliance store, whose monthly revenue is k $ 2000, for a minimum of k $ 2000 and a maximum of $ 4000.
For a restaurant, the industry multiples for the annual cash flow are MIN 1 and MAX 3, which means that with an annual flow of $ k15,000, the buyer will expect a cost from $ k15,000 to $ k45,000.
But in the realities of the post-Soviet space, the method of sectoral multipliers did not take root, since there is still no objective history on the business purchase and sale markets.
Pros of the comparative approach: the algorithm for using the method is quite simple, it is easy to check and update. The use of the method does not require significant time expenditures. The business value under the comparative method has already been updated to current market expectations.
Cons of the comparative approach: 1. Lack of information about companies - analogues due to the underdevelopment of the market for buying and selling a business; 2. the absence in the comparative approach of expectations for the prospects - both a super-profitable business in the future and a business in the downturn are valued the same.
A ready-made model in Excel for a quick assessment of business value
To evaluate the business on your own in a short time, use a ready-made model in Excel. It will calculate the cost using the net income capitalization method. A minimum of company data is required. Prepare a statement of income for the three years preceding the date of the assessment. You will also need a few numbers from the balance sheet at the last reporting date and the planned revenue for the coming year.
The cost approach is not based on external factors of the existence of the business, but considers the business itself during the period of its existence. It is subdivided into the net assets method and the residual value method. Accordingly, the first is used to determine the value of a business "for sale" and the second is used to liquidate it.
Its task is to determine the amount of equity by subtracting the fair value of all liabilities from the fair value of all assets.
The formula for determining the value of a business using a cost approach:
The implication is that, in aggregate, a business cannot be cheaper than the assets it earned separately, and that a knowledgeable investor will not pay more for the business than would have to be spent on creating the same business from scratch.
The second statement of the cost approach is that the book value of assets is not equal to the market value. Therefore, in the cost approach, it is proposed to evaluate element by element:
To assess the market value of each balance sheet item, you can use both a cost approach and other approaches to assessment.
Example 1
We will evaluate the equipment on the balance of the enterprise using a costly approach.
According to the balance sheet, the cost of the equipment is 2,400 thousand rubles, the date of commissioning is 01.01.2015, the initial cost is 4,200 thousand rubles.
The cost of the equipment at the moment will be equal to:
Stack \u003d Sv - And
The cost of reproducing identical equipment consists of the purchase, modernization, delivery and installation costs and amounts to RUB 4,850,000, based on 2018 prices. The replacement cost is equal to the cost of reproduction.
We calculate the wear using the formula:
I \u003d IF + IM + IE
Depreciation of equipment for the period from 01.01.2015 to 30.11.2018 amounted to:
I \u003d 1160 + 520 + 250 \u003d 1 930 thousand rubles
The current cost of the equipment is 4 850 - 1 930 \u003d 2 920 thousand rubles.
Liabilities are appraised only if there is reliable information about their market or "cost" value; in other cases, they are given at the book value.
Example 2
Before the acquisition, the invited team of appraisers evaluates the target company using the net assets method. The net assets of the target company amounted to USD 5,500 thousand.
Balance sheet of the company for the current and previous year
Indicator |
Current year, thousand USD |
Previous year, thousand USD |
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Assets |
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Fixed assets |
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Intangible assets |
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Receivables |
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Other current assets |
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Total assets |
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Liabilities |
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Borrowed funds |
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Accounts payable |
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Total liabilities |
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Equity |
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Appraisers performed calculations and determined the current value of assets and liabilities of the balance sheet.
Indicator |
Current value, thousand USD |
Assets |
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Fixed assets |
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Intangible assets |
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Receivables |
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Other current assets |
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Total assets |
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Liabilities |
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Borrowed funds |
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Accounts payable |
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Total liabilities |
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Equity |
They are used to evaluate a business or property complex, based on the assumption of their liquidation. The task of the method is to determine which assets can be sold and what their price will be.
Residual value formula:
Slikv \u003d Stack * (1 - Sq.pr) - Zprod
Example 3
The company decided to liquidate a warehouse complex consisting of a building, land under it, warehouse equipment, and machinery. The current cost of the complex, determined using the net assets method, was USD 8,750 thousand, but as a result of the assessment, it was determined that some of the equipment was very obsolete (by 85%) and it was not possible to find a buyer for it in a short time. Therefore, it was decided to dispose of this equipment. The equipment stack is 340 thousand dollars, disposal costs are 32 thousand dollars. The exposure period was adopted for 2 months due to the dismissal of personnel during this period. The forced sale ratio was 0.3. Selling costs were estimated at $ 45,000.
The liquidation cost will be:
Slick \u003d (8750 - 340 - 32) * (1-0.3) - 45 \u003d 5820 thousand dollars.
Pros of a costly approach: using the cost approach is fully justified for capital-intensive enterprises that are experiencing financial difficulties and do not have a positive outlook for the near future. The positive aspect of the cost-based approach is that it does not require information about analogs to implement it, which greatly simplifies the assessment in the conditions of non-transparent markets.
Cons of a costly approach: large expenditures of labor and time for its implementation, its isolation from the market (for example, an enterprise could invest millions in setting up a workshop using technology that is quickly outdated. Costs are high, market value is zero), and from the prospects for business development (high-tech startups cost nothing on the cost approach).
Determining the fair value of a non-public company is more difficult. Undoubtedly, the ability of a business to generate income is also the most important factor in value, but for a minority owner of a non-public company, the ability to provide a return on invested capital is equally important. If the amount of future cash flow can be calculated, then return on invested capital in this case is not a mathematical concept. In modern Russian conditions, it is the possibility of legal withdrawal of part of the profit that becomes a decisive factor in determining the price of a non-public business. As important as the business's ability to generate income.
This is a favorite approach of all investors and businessmen, because each of the methods considers investments as a tool for making a profit in the future, and not as a way to acquire useless assets.
The income approach is based on the assumption that the business will generate cash flows (income) in the future, which can be recalculated today. The most common methods of the income approach are:
The simplest of the two methods is based on the assumption that the business is developing steadily and will bring conditionally the same income over the medium - long term.
According to the income capitalization method, the value of a business (share in a business) is equal to the normalized annual return divided by the capitalization rate, that is, it is calculated by the formula:
Normalized profit can be selected from:
The capitalization rate, in turn, is determined as the return on alternative investments by the formula:
Example 4
The investor decides whether to enter a share in a business that has consistently brought its owners an income of $ 5,000 for 5 years. The forecasts for the functioning of the business are positive, that is, it is planned that it will continue to bring in $ 5,000 or even more. annually. Sale of a 30% stake is being discussed. An alternative to investing money for the investor will be another project with a yield of 19% and similar risks.
The investor calculated the maximum purchase price of a share using the income capitalization method
Scap \u003d (5000 * 0.33) / 0.19 \u003d $ 8,711
By paying this money, he will receive an income equivalent to 19% per annum.
The plus of the capitalization method income - its simplicity. Among the cons - inability to take into account fluctuations in cash flows from period to period and the lack of accounting for the cost of project liquidation at the end of the period.
Well, if the business is young, is developing rapidly, or is exposed to other factors that make cash flows uneven over the years, then the method of discounting cash flows is used to evaluate it.
Based on the construction of a cash flow model for periods and the determination of the discounted cash flow balance.
The cash flow model can be built from two assumptions: the total investment in the project is estimated, or only equity capital. It is also possible to build cash flows in nominal prices today or in real prices that take into account inflation.
The choice of the period for building a cash flow model depends on the stability of the business. It is believed that after the billing period, the business will have to bring stable or steadily growing profits, so all fluctuations in the cash flow should be described in the model. In practice, models are often built for 3-5 years.
In order to fill the model with figures on revenue and costs, they conduct a retrospective analysis of the business, assess market expectations, competition, and available production facilities. Mathematical models for building trends are often used.
The investment forecast is made on the basis of investments in fixed assets and working capital necessary for the creation (development) of a business.
Upon completion of the project, its cost is not zero, but one of the following:
After entering all the data into the model, the net cash flow is calculated for each period and as a whole. But this figure is not yet the value of the business, since money in the future is cheaper than money today. In order to bring future revenues to their current current value, the flows are discounted, for which the discount rate is determined.
The discount rate is usually equal to the investor's return on risk-adjusted project expectations. It can be calculated using the capital investment method (CAPM) or.
As a result, the appraiser will receive a table graphically displayed in the figure.
NPV is used to calculate the value of a business by discounting cash flows.
Example 5
The team of appraisers from example 2 evaluates the company-target not only using the net assets method, but also using the income method.
All preparatory measures were carried out, a forecast for the functioning of the business for 5 years was made, the cost of capital and the terminal cost of the project were calculated.
Financial model:
Indicator |
|||||
thousand dollars |
thousand dollars |
thousand dollars |
thousand dollars |
thousand dollars |
|
Sales of products |
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Raw materials, contractors |
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Personnel costs |
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Other operating expenses |
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Financial flows |
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Investment flows |
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Total CF |
TV \u003d 2,510 thousand dollars
The cost of the business was calculated:
NPV \u003d -480/1 + 1114 / (1 + 0.11) + 2021 / (1 + 0.11) 2 + 2473 / (1 + 0.11) 3 + 2980 / (1 + 0.11) 4 + 2510 / (1 + 0.11) 5 \u003d 6836 thousand dollars
Pros of a profitable approach: when forming the value of a business, the prospects and value brought to the investor are taken into account.
Cons of the income approach: this method is the most subjective of the possible, because forecasts for the future are made with a high degree of uncertainty, and the position of the evaluator (optimistic or pessimistic) plays an important role here. The emergence of figures on income and expenses is difficult to objectively prove, therefore, the degree of confidence of information users in the income approach is reduced.
In conclusion, a few words about profitable juggling with numbers, as a bonus for those who have read the article to the end.
As you may have guessed, the assessment results obtained using different approaches differ. Sometimes they can differ by a factor of ten or more.
Therefore, never agree to an offer from an appraiser or business partner to evaluate a part or a business entirely with just one approach. Compare alternatives and look for a better one.
What do you think the investors who were evaluating the company - the takeover target from examples 2 and 5, what valuation method was advertised? Of course, the valuation is based on net assets. And they offered to take over the company for $ 5,500,000, while they themselves had in mind an income of $ 6,836,000.
The final choice of a business price between several approaches is not legally fixed anywhere, it can be a choice of a single price, or a weighted average between several approaches, in general, there is room for imagination.
In this article, you will learn:
- What is the value of a company and what is it for
- What are the types of company value
- How to calculate the value of a company
- How to quickly calculate company value
- What are the features in managing company value
- How to increase company value
A business exists not only to receive funds for goods or services, for the sake of which it was created. Business is also an investment. Many entrepreneurs make money by organizing and launching new companies with the aim of further selling them. Although this is far from the only reason for selling a business. When a company goes bankrupt or cannot solve its problems on its own, it is often necessary to assess the value of the company before selling. In this article we will talk about how to understand everything related to the value of your business and avoid difficulties.
Now the overwhelming majority of firms in Russia do not consider the appraisal of the company's value to be something necessary, and their owners often do not see the point in this until the business reaches high turnover and the public arena. Until then, the appraisal was perceived as a reason for the owner's personal pride.
The economic goals of calculating the value of the company are actually about twenty, but the most important are only three:
Of course, it is necessary to estimate the cost not only for buying or selling a ready-made business. This indicator is important for strategic management company. A clear understanding of the value of your business will also be required when issuing securities, shares and entering the stock market. It is also significant that not a single investor will agree to invest their money where the company's value has not been assessed.
Enterprise business valuation (business valuation) - nothing more than the determination of the value of the company as non-current and current assets that can bring profit to the owners.
When conducting an appraisal examination it is necessary to assess the value of the firm's assets:
Business is an investment commodity. Any investment in a company is made only with a long-term focus on the return of funds with a profit. Since quite a lot of time passes between investments and income in business, in order to determine the real value of the company, the specialist analyzes its activities over a long period and separately evaluates:
After receiving this data, the evaluated company is compared with other similar firms. Only a comprehensive analysis helps to calculate the real value of the company.
Assessment of the value of an enterprise or company Is the process of finding out the maximum likely price of a business as a commodity when it is sold to other owners. Moreover, any enterprise can be sold as a whole or in parts. The company as the property of its owner can be insured, bequeathed or used as collateral.
The appraiser's activities are regulated by the federal standard "The purpose of the assessment and types of value" (FSO No. 2), which determines several main types of value for any object of assessment:
The market value of an appraised object, for example a business, is the most probable price at which it can be sold on the day of appraisal under the following conditions: the alienation takes place in an open market with existing competition, the parties to the transaction act reasonably and have complete information about the subject of sale, and its value is not affected by any force majeure circumstances.
The market value of the company is needed in the following cases:
The market value of the company applies in all situations where tax issues, both federal and local, are being resolved.
It is this type of value that is always determined in transactions for the sale and purchase of a business or any part of it, since the market value is the most objective indicator and does not depend on the wishes of the participants in the process, it corresponds to the real economic situation.
This type of value depends on the personal investment requirements. Every investor invests his money in a business in order to get a profit in excess of the amount of invested capital, and not just the return of this "debt". So the investment value of the company is calculated based on the investor's expected income and the capitalization rate of these investments. This type of company value must be calculated when buying and selling a business, mergers, acquisitions of firms.
This cost option is calculated in a situation when the end of the company is expected for any reason (for example, reorganization, bankruptcy or division of the company's property). Determining the liquidation value of the company, they find the most probable size of the price at which the enterprise can be sold in the shortest possible period of exposure, provided that the owner of the object of sale is forced to enter into a transaction to alienate his property.
This is the market value approved and established by the legislation in the field of cadastral valuation of real estate. It is to this indicator that the methods of mass appraisal should come in the case of the cadastral value of the object. This type of value is calculated most often for property taxation.
This is a preliminary list of documents that an appraiser will need to conduct an examination of the company's value, but it can be shortened or supplemented at the request of a specialist.
Obviously, one of the most objective indicators of the efficiency of an existing business is its cost. It makes it possible to calculate the price at which an enterprise can be sold on the open market in a competitive environment, or to predict the future value of the firm's goods. The question of how the valuation of a company is carried out is a serious practical task of high importance for any entrepreneur.
To obtain an adequate assessment, first of all it is worth define the main goalcost calculation procedures. The following options are most likely:
The fundamental difference in carrying out these procedures is not in the quality of the appraiser's work, but in the cost of services and in the form of an opinion. In the first case, the specialist is obliged to comply with the requirements of the current legislation governing his licensed activity, and usually these requirements significantly increase the price for the work.
In the second case, you will need to independently develop and clearly formulate the assignment for the appraiser, listing all the procedures you are interested in, the factors of the company's value and parts of the business that are subject to expertise. So, as a result, you will receive only the information that you need.
Business valuation means the calculation of its value as a property complex, which leads to a profit by the owner.
To calculate the value of a company, you need to take into account all of its assets, intangible and tangible: real estate, technical equipment, cars, warehouse stocks, financial injections. Further, past and potential incomes, plans for the development of the enterprise, competition and the economic environment are necessarily calculated. At the end of the due diligence, the data are compared with information about similar companies, and only after that the real value of the company is formed.
In the above calculations, the following applies. three methods:
However, in fact, there are so many situations that they are segmented into classes, each of which requires its own approach and corresponding method.
To use the most suitable calculation method, you must first analyze the situation, the circumstances of the moment of assessment and other conditions.
For some types of business, the valuation of the company is carried out, as a rule, based on commercial potential.
For example, in the case of the hotel business, we are dealing with guests as the source of the firm's income. In a method called profitable, it is this source that will be compared with operating costs to assess the profitability of the enterprise. This method is based on discounting the profit from the rental of the company's property. Finally, after the appraisal, both the value of buildings and land are included.
The valuation of the company is carried out using cost methodwhen it comes to a business that cannot be bought or sold, as is the case with government agencies or clinics. This estimate takes into account the construction cost of the building, depreciation and depreciation of the property.
Comparative method used when there is a market for such a business. It is a market-based valuation method that relies on the analysis of similar properties already sold in other markets.
Hypothetically, all of the above approaches must give the same amount of value... But in fact, market conditions are not ideal, businesses are often ineffective, and information is inadequate and imperfect.
Determining the value of the company in each of these approaches allows use of different assessment methods:
Please note that the last three methods are valid only if there is a similar business, which is the same type as the subject of assessment, otherwise the analysis will not be indicative. Next, we will briefly talk about the use of the named methods by which the value of the company is calculated.
If you need an estimate of the cost for the forecast period, then it will be determined discounted cash flows... The discount rate is applied to bring potential income to current value.
In this scenario, the calculation of the company's value is carried out according to the following formula:
where P - cost,
I - discount rate,
CFt- cash flow,
t Is the number of the time interval at which the evaluation takes place.
Do not forget to take into account that in the period after the forecast, your company will continue its work, which means that future prospects will determine the most diverse options - from explosive growth of the enterprise to bankruptcy.
It happens that the calculations are carried out using gordon's model, implying a stable and systematic growth in sales and profits of the company, as well as equal volumes of capital investments and the amount of wear.
For this situation, the following applies. formula:
wherein CF (t + 1) Is the cash flow in the first year following the forecast period,
I - discount rate,
g - the rate of growth of the flow.
The Gordon model is most convenient to use when calculating the value of a company if the object of assessment is a large business with a large market capacity, stable supplies, production and sales, and is in favorable economic conditions.
If the bankruptcy of the enterprise and the further sale of property are predicted, then this formula is required to calculate the cost:
where P - company value,
P liquor - liquidation costs (such as insurance, appraisal services, taxes, employee benefits and management costs),
ABOUT- the amount of obligations,
L Wed- a discount provided in connection with the urgency of liquidation,
AND - the total value of all assets of the company after their revaluation.
The results of calculations using the current formula are also influenced by the location of the enterprise, the quality of assets, and the situation in the market as a whole.
Express pricing model, which we will talk about in more detail, is based on the method of discounting cash flow for an enterprise already known to us. For convenience, we will abbreviate this term as dDP methodfor the company. These concepts, as we remember, operate in the profitable approach to the valuation of the company.
This approach is divided into the following most common in it assessment methods:
According to a lot of information, both direct and indirect, the DCF method is the most adequate in determining the value of a company. Provided that the criterion for the effectiveness and appropriateness of the method, we choose to display the behavior of the stock market (for example, the capitalization of an enterprise according to its data).
It's important that the DDP method has several varieties, corresponding to different purposes and differing in the techniques for calculating both the flow itself and the discount rate. Let's list the most popular varieties:
At the same time, the entire DCF method for an enterprise is based on this formula:
In which indices i and jthe ordinal numbers of periods (years) are indicated,
EV (Enterprise Value) - the value of the company,
D (Debt) - the cost of short-term and long-term debt,
FCFF stands for "free cash flow for the company", which does not take into account debt financing remaining after taxes (or operating cash flow),
E (Equity) is the amount of equity capital of the organization,
WACC(Weighted Average Cost of Capital) is translated as "weighted average cost of capital", which is calculated as follows:
r d - the cost of the company's capital, which is borrowed,
t - income tax rate,
r e - the amount of equity capital.
When calculating the value of companies in Russia, often the following simplifications are introduced:
As a result of all the above transformations we get the expressionkind
The factors of the company's value within the described valuation model are any scalars and vectors that affect the value of the enterprise in the calculations.
Please note that predicting free cash flow for a firm for each year of an infinitely long period is quite difficult and this action makes little sense. This happens because the value of the terms with the index i too small because of the denominator, and an imperfect calculation of the numerator has almost no effect on the final result of this calculation. For this reason, the following popular practice is used an approach:
Everyone who has come across an appraisal service knows very well that how it was calculated has a significant impact on the market value of the same business being appraised. The resulting amounts may differ several times. Such results often lead to serious financial damage, conflict and even litigation.
Let's call there are several main reasons for the variation in the value of the subject matter:
Inadequate value is obtained as a result of calculation errors, as well as due to methodological inconsistencies in assessing the company's value. Carefully study the experience and professional level of the appraiser.
Unfortunately, to this day, a certain share of the market of services for the assessment of various objects is occupied by “custom” examinations. That is, the real cost can be underestimated or overestimated in the expert's opinion at the request of the customer.
Despite the fact that the assessment procedure is based on specific values \u200b\u200band economically sound assumptions, this process remains largely subjective. So the result may depend on the evaluator's personal view of the future of the market, financial capabilities and other factors of the company's value. The decision on how to relate to economic conditions must be made by the expert conducting the analysis. And he will not always be able to predict even the most seemingly predictable things. Judge for yourself: who could have predicted the development of the oil market at 66 dollars a barrel two or three years ago, and not at 25 or even optimistic 30 dollars per unit?
The size of the final cost, which will be obtained as a result of a comprehensive analysis and calculations, largely depends on the correct formulation of the problem, on the accuracy and adequacy of the choice of the type of cost and on the final goals for which the whole procedure is carried out. It is not surprising that one and the same security can be valued in amounts that differ by 20 or even 50%. This is influenced, for example, by whether it is in a minority or controlling stake. Depending on the purpose of determining the value of the company, the calculation process is carried out in different ways.
The management of some enterprises deliberately goes to the discrepancy between real and official reporting. A distortion of this factor in the company's value inevitably leads to incorrect valuation results. This problem is even more aggravated in the case when it is necessary to make a settlement for a business, the share of which is pledged when receiving credit funds. Banks prefer to work not with management reporting, but only with the official one, which significantly changes the assessment indicators.
Nowadays, valuation experts turn to the three main methods of this procedure - cost, income, and comparative. The official assessment standards state that in the final calculation, it is necessary to take into account the results obtained in all three approaches. But these methods do not always correspond to the purposes of the examination.
List of factors to look out for, in order to clarify their meaning and get comments from an expert assessing the value of the company:
Accurate assessment of a non-public company whose shares are not traded on the stock exchange is always a non-trivial question. Each stakeholder in the transaction can apply their own valuation methods and argue with others, defending the correctness of their own calculations. There is no universal recipe here.
Modern methods of company appraisal, I must admit, are not far from the classic book truths prescribed by Mason and Harrison. Business angels, private investors, venture capital funds and entrepreneurs continue to use ratios and multiples, discounted cash flows and net assets to evaluate businesses. But which method is right for you?
The valuation of the company assumes a number of assumptions, in particular, the real size of the market (it is especially difficult to “digitize” young, emerging industries), as well as the financial forecast. Often, an entrepreneur's business plans may not match the investor's vision.
Another subjective indicator is the degree of return required by the investor, which covers all his risks. The earlier an investor "enters" the company, the more profitability he requires. At the earliest stage of development, only one company in ten invested is profitable, said Konstantin Fokin, president of the National Association of Business Angels. “I work closely with companies, because I want the return on my portfolio to be your average, I expect that two out of ten portfolio companies can be successful,” says business angel Alexander Borodich about the realities of high-risk investment.
When evaluating the market and companies, entrepreneurs rely on similar transactions that have already passed, which will allow them to both get an approximate multiplier and understand the size of the market. The investor makes the final decision on the value, relying not only on the data of similar transactions, but also on his own intuition and the results of "trades" with the entrepreneur.
At the earliest stage of the company's development, the investor pays special attention to the analysis and other indicators of the company: team, potential demand for technology, systemic risks associated with the general economic and political background, as well as possible barriers to entry into the market of competitors.
At the idea stage, it is very difficult to give even a rough estimate of the future company - this is an equation with many variables.
But such an answer is unlikely to suit an investor. “Business angels invest in businesses, they are not involved in financing research projects,” says Igor Panteleev, executive director of the National Commonwealth of Business Angels. Most often, private investors refuse startups precisely because the young company lacks sales.
Suitable: For fast-growing, early-stage startups with little or no income.
Not applicable: to tech companies.
Basis of assessment: the value of the company is determined from the amount of free cash flow in future periods. The amount of the flow is discounted taking into account the risks of future years. The discount rate is based on the weighted average cost of capital.
Minuses: overestimation of the company's real value, inaccurate assumptions (the company's revenue in future periods, sales growth rates, risks, discount rate).
Suitable: for solid and profitable companies with modest assets.
Basis of assessment: Comparison with listed companies with similar operating and financial structures. The valuation is based on several indicators: turnover, EBITDA, EBIT, annual growth. Transactions with similar companies that have been sold to strategic or financial investors are taken into account. Of great importance in this method is the ratio of the market price of a company's share to its net profit per share. The assessment determines the development potential of the company or the industry as a whole; as a result, the investor or entrepreneur evaluates the strategic value of the company.
Minuses: difficulties in finding a suitable analogue, closed nature of similar transactions, complex data collection process.
Suitable: for large companies with significant underlying assets.
Doesn't fit: for the sector of small and medium enterprises.
Basis for the assessment: balance sheet indicators of the company. An important plus of this method is the ability to qualitatively check the received value of the business based on its official accounting documents.
Minuses: it is difficult to assess intellectual property.
Lucius Carey's rule of thirds: the company is divided into three parts between investor, founder / director and management.
Competence rule: the assessment of the share of each party is based on the professional skills and competencies of the company's participants.
Greed rate: the investment amount multiplied by the business director's share is divided by the director's own investment multiplied by the investor's share. If the obtained coefficient is from 5 to 8, the company's assessment is adequate, if it is more than 10, the entrepreneur is greedy and gives too small a share to investors.
We use different valuation methods - from discounted cash flows to the method of comparing projects by metrics and predicting the future value of the company. At our stage of investment, the most applicable, of course, is the forecasting of the future value discounted at the current moment.
The most effective assessment method is negotiation. We understand the minimum, comfortable and maximum assessment of the project for us. Next, we communicate with the project and correlate this assessment with the expectations of the founders. The figure that we stopped at is the real cost of the project today.
We use the income method when evaluating the cost of IT projects. In Russian realities, it is extremely difficult to use the comparative method. It is difficult to find similar businesses and it is almost impossible to get access to real numbers. The negative side of the cost method is that it does not take into account the value of intellectual property, the “burning eyes” of the team, and other intangibles. But at the initial stage, the further success of the project depends on them. In practice, the income method provides the most reliable data for a startup. But here, too, you need to understand that none of the approaches gives an objective assessment if we are talking about a start-up business in IT. It is impossible to make long-term forecasts for startups, since sometimes projects undergo major changes in their business processes in the first year of their existence.
Traditional approaches to company valuation (comparative, costly, profitable) are practically not used to determine the pre-money valuation of a venture project. This is due to a high degree of uncertainty regarding the future cash flows of the project, often the absence of analogous companies in Russia and in the world. And the assessment of the project at its liquidation value often leads to such a figure that it makes no sense for the founder to continue the project in the future.
In the venture capital business, project valuation is the result of negotiations between the founder of the company and investors. Often, a venture capital fund makes an assessment of a project based on its previous experience of investing in projects of the same development stage.
If, suppose, in one venture project for $ 1 million an investor received 30%, and you can only assume 10% for the exact same amount, then the investor will have many questions as to why your project is better than its analogue.
Also, the following scheme is used as the definition of the project evaluation range:
In preparing the article, materials of the educational program for professional private investors Ready for Equity were used
At the present stage of development of the business market and the world economy, the assessment of intangible assets and intellectual property has become no less important than tangible ones. The role of objective analysis and accurate determination of business value has increased. This procedure is simply necessary for those who are planning to invest, buy or sell businesses. An independent assessment of the company's value in such situations becomes an important management tool that will make it possible to make the right choice, avoid many risks and get maximum profit. It will not even be able to fully function and expand without a qualitative assessment at one of the stages of development.
Business valuation is a procedure for determining the market value of an enterprise (taking into account tangible, intangible assets, financial condition, expected profit), which is carried out by official bodies or experts. Any property in combination with a package of rights to it can become an object of assessment. The meaning of the term "business valuation" is slightly different. It implies the definition in the monetary ratio of the value of the enterprise, which includes (except for assets) its utility and the costs committed to obtain it.
The main purpose of the appraisal is to establish the market value of the assets being appraised for the client. The customer initiates a business assessment, as a rule, in the case of the sale or purchase of a company, equity interest, lending, project financing, improving the efficiency of enterprise management, etc. Situations often arise when several reasons combine.
An increase in the value of a business is one of the important indicators of the growth of its profitability, a decrease indicates the need for changes in the management system and development strategy. Both the owner of the business and a third party may be interested in conducting an objective assessment.
The cost of an enterprise is determined when:
A business assessment may be needed not only by a potential investor or business owner, but also by other market participants, for example, insurance companies (to determine the amount of risk, confirm compliance with the risk sharing agreement between the client and the insured), credit institutions (to assess solvency, determine the optimal amount of maximum credit), as well as government agencies, shareholders, suppliers, manufacturers, intermediaries. The final result of the assessment can be presented in one report in several sections or in two different documents. The assessment of the enterprise is carried out in accordance with the set goal, which is formulated by the customer when drawing up the Agreement and the Assignment for the assessment. They must necessarily comply with the Federal Law "On appraisal activities in the Russian Federation", the provisions of the "National Code of Ethics for Appraisers of the Russian Federation" and Federal Appraisal Standards.
Before investing or purchasing a business, the buyer first of all evaluates its usefulness for himself. It must match his individual income needs. It is the latter indicator, taking into account the costs, that is the basis of the market value that the appraiser calculates. The principles, methods and approaches to its definition are chosen based on the specifics of the business as a "product": investment (money is invested in it, expecting a profit in the future), consistency (it can be sold as a system or separate elements), need (depends on the situation inside production and in the external environment). The appraisal process consists of several stages performed by a specialist appraiser to objectively determine the value of the business:
At the fourth stage, the appraiser chooses one or more optimal approaches to assessing the enterprise, which will be most effective in a particular situation. Business valuation methods are universal, but they are selected individually in each situation.
This approach implies a set of methods for assessing the value of an object, which are aimed at determining the costs required to restore, replace an enterprise, taking into account costs, equipment wear and other factors. It allows you to track the absolute changes in the balance sheet with its possible adjustment as of the valuation date (in the opinion of an independent expert appraiser) - using data on current market prices for labor, materials and other costs.
Income approach means a set of methods for assessing the value of an object, which are based on determining the amount of expected income from the business. In this case, income is the key factor determining the value of the object. The larger it is, the higher its market value. Here, experts apply the estimated principle of expectation, taking into account the period of receipt of potential income according to the plan, the number and degree of risks. For the analysis, capitalization ratios are used, which are calculated based on market data. This method of assessment is considered the most effective and convenient for determining the value of a business (only in some cases comparative or costly are more accurate). The approach is best used if the company's revenues are stable.
A comparative method for determining the value of an enterprise means a complex of valuation methods that are based on comparing the object of valuation with competing objects (with similar characteristics, the availability of information on transaction prices). Experts believe that it is he who gives the most accurate results (of course, subject to the active work of the market with similar properties in terms of parameters). For this approach, market data for similar objects and the method of capital market, transactions and industry ratios (with elements - benchmarking analysis) are used.
Important: it is worth noting that each approach makes it possible to emphasize and objectively analyze certain characteristics of the object of assessment, but they are all interrelated.
Business and other objects are appraised by specialized companies. To assess the value of the enterprise, you need to contact the specialists, clearly indicate the purpose of determining the value and sign the Agreement. According to the Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation of December 2007 No. 60, the assessment process should take place in several stages:
The appraisal company is the organizer of the appraisal project, helps the appraiser in his professional activities, provides marketing, financial and informational support. It provides services not only to business owners, but also to legal entities, financial institutions (most often banks), insurance companies and government agencies. As a rule, the property owner pays for the appraisal services, but often the other party puts forward certain requirements regarding the appraisal company. When choosing an appraisal company, it is necessary to collect as much objective information about it as possible and make sure of its competence and professionalism. Particular attention should be paid to the following factors:
The appraisal company must prove itself as an organization that produces correct results and offers the services of objective experts, not motivated by a third party.
To start the assessment process, the business owner must provide a package of documents. Its position depends on the purpose of the conduct, the form of ownership and the criteria for the formation of the assessment. Many appraisal companies have launched websites where you can apply online or by phone (but you only need to submit documents in person). The basic package includes the following papers:
Advice: It is important to take into account that each appraisal company has its own methodology of work. Sometimes, in addition to the basic set of documents, additional papers are required from the customer, for example, a development plan for the next few years, drawing up an investment project, an auditor's opinion, an explanatory note from the owner describing the company and indicating the number of staff.
The dynamic economic situation in the country and the world becomes the reason that for each assessment it is necessary to develop an individual model. The study of the same object is rarely repeated, but in this case it is impossible to reproduce the same assessment. As a base, the evaluators use generally accepted models. Their choice must be coordinated with the client based on the goals and tasks of the project. The optimal model should take into account not only the financial aspect, but also help in assessing the level of corporate governance, have the potential and act as an independent method for assessing the value of a business.
Basic business valuation models:
A business valuation report can be submitted both in text format and in the form of tables or with their active use. For example, consider the valuation of an enterprise using the net asset value method (cost approach). It is most often used if the company has significant tangible assets (or very few of them), the percentage of total costs in the cost of the product or service is insignificant, in recent years the cash flow has been subject to significant fluctuations and if the company does not have fully depreciated assets, which are currently generate income.
Let's consider an example based on the table:
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Business appraisal is necessary not only for conducting sale and purchase transactions, calculating the collateral value, but also for other purposes, for example, to determine the effectiveness of management. In the course of completing the assigned task, the expert takes into account, in addition to the costs of setting up an enterprise, market factors that can affect the cost, and also uses technological, organizational and financial analyzes. Valuation activity is an essential part of any developed country, because the results of valuation become the basis for making important economic and managerial decisions in the private and public sector.
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The structure of liabilities taken into account includes:
An enterprise business valuation using the income approach is carried out on the basis of company revenues, those economic benefits that the owner receives from owning the enterprise.
The valuation is based on the principle that a potential buyer will not pay more for a stake in an enterprise than it can generate income in the future.
The assessment of the future income of the enterprise is made taking into account the factor of the change in the value of money over time - the income received at the present time has a greater value for the investor than the same income that will be received in the future.
The total cost of the enterprise is calculated as the sum of income streams from business activities in the forecast period, reduced to the current price level, plus the value of the business in the post-forecast period.
Within the framework of the income approach, two valuation methods are mainly used:
The income approach views the business as a long-term asset, generating a certain income for the business owner... The direct capitalization method identifies a business with a financial asset of a certain kind - perpetual annuity. The features of this asset are:
This method of the income approach is used to assess enterprises that are in the stage of intensive business development, to evaluate companies for which there is no reason to assume an unlimited life span. The life of a business can be limited by lease agreements, falling demand for manufactured products, etc.
Under the discounted cash flow method, the enterprise value is based on future projected income streams.
For ready-made businesses duration of the forecast period corresponds to the remaining effective life of the enterprise and reflects the ability to predict the timing of income from business activities with a reasonable degree of probability of their receipt, without additional, significant financial investments in the estimated business.
The remaining effective predicted life span may be limited by the economic life of the product, the economic life of the product, the moral and physical deterioration of equipment and production technologies, the terms of the lease of production and office space, the prospects of the market in which the evaluated business operates.
A number of factors influence the value of the risk of earning income in the direction of increase or decrease. Taking into account the risks of investing in a business when determining the value of an enterprise using an income approach is carried out by selecting an adequate capitalization rate or discount used to determine the current value of the cash flows expected from the business.
The discount rate is the factor used to convert future payments or receipts to present value. That is, the discount rate is used to determine the amount that an investor would pay today for an investment asset in order to receive income in the future.
A comparative approach to business valuation assumes that its value is determined by how much it costs can be sold if there is a sufficiently formed market. In other words, the most probable value of the estimated business can be the real selling price of a similar enterprise, fixed by the market.
The main advantage of the comparative approach is that the appraiser is guided by the actual purchase and sale prices of similar enterprises, the method really reflects the supply and demand for the given object of appraisal, since the price of the actually completed transaction takes into account the situation on the sales market for ready-made businesses as much as possible.
To determine the value of an enterprise using a comparative approach, reliable market information on sale and purchase transactions of ready-made businesses and reliable financial information on sold businesses are required. This information is not available on the market.
Comparative sales valuation has its limitations. The comparative approach to the assessment does not take into account the prospects for the development of the assessed business, according to this approach, it is advisable to assess enterprises that have reached stable profits, and in relation to which it can be assumed that in the actually forecasted future their activities will not be terminated
Rules of thumb allow you to look from the inside at the problems of the value of an enterprise, company or share in it, as well as issues of business support and reliability. However, value data obtained using rules of thumb should only play a decisive role in decision-making if they are supported by other valuation methods.
Most of the rules of thumb are percentage of gross income (sales volume, bills paid for the year, annual gross income, annual fees received, annual revenue, all of which are equal in the sense of applying rules of thumb). The adjusted annual income, if the rule of thumb is applied, corresponds to the total cash flow, including the owner's salary and the net profit of the business itself. In other words, it is the amount of revised, normalized income, often referred to as the seller's discretionary income or company cash.
The estimates of the business of an enterprise obtained by the above methods may vary. The final element of the assessment process is comparison of ratingsobtained on the basis of these methods, and the reduction of the obtained cost estimates to a single cost of the object. The reconciliation process takes into account the strengths and weaknesses of each method, determines how they adequately reflect the objective state of the market. The final market value of the enterprise is calculated as a weighted average.
The process of convergence of estimates leads to the establishment of the final cost of the object, which achieves the purpose of the valuation.
On our website you can see examples of our work on enterprise appraisaland also with the procedure for ordering and performing this work ... Read about the possibilities cost optimization for this service in our article "The cost of conducting a business valuation" .
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