Formation and civilization go to the restoration of history. The civilization of the theory and philosophy of history of the XX century and its infusion on the methodology of history

It is possible to counter the formal approach to the civilization until the history of the event. Tsey pidhid zaphatkuvav 18 centuries. Yaskravi clerks of the theory є M. Weber, O. Spengler, A. Toynbe, and I. Among the vicarious nautsy's henchmen, bully K.M. Leontyev, N. Ya. Danilevsky, P.A. Sorokin. The word "civilization" resembles the Latin "civis", which means "mіskiy, sovereign, huge".

I will look at the main structural unit of civilization. The combination of cymbal terms was the origin of the singing rivn at the suspension development. The emergence of a place, writing, statehood, social development of the suspension, all have specific signs of civilization.

In a broad understanding of civilization, in the main, there is a high level of development of a suspicious culture. For example, in Europe, in the era of Education, civilization ruled on thoroughly detailed laws, science, vdach, philosophy. From the side, civilization, there is a last moment at the development of the culture of any kind of suspension.

Civilization, as a whole suspension system, including developmental elements, which are harmonized and clearly interconnected between themselves. All elements of the system include the freedom of civilizations. Tsia sukupn_st features are duzhe stiyka. Before the influx of internal and external influxes, changes appear in the civilization, ale the basis, the internal core becomes permanent. Cultural and historical types of interconnections have been formed for a long time, which may be a singular territory, and as the smell may be characteristic deprivation of specialness.

Until the end of the hour, the hitchhikers are leading superheroes about the number of civilizations. N. Ya. Danilevsky vidіlyaє 13 self-made civilizations, A. Toynbi-6 types, O. Shpengler-8 types.

There are few positive sides to the civilization approach.

• - The principles of this approach can be set up to the history of this country, of a group. This methodology has its own peculiarity, for that, for the reason, the records for the development of the history of the administration, for the development of the individualities of the regions and the regions.
• - Tsya theory of transmission, so it is possible to see how varied and varied processes.
• - The unity and integrity of the human history is transferred for the whole process. Civilization, as a system, can be adjusted between oneself. As a result, more intelligence and historical processes and fixing individuality can be made.
• - We see the criteria for the development of civilization, it is possible to assess the level of development of the regions, regions, people.
• - at the civilization entrance lead role introduce human spiritual, moral and intellectual factors. Of particular importance for the assessment are the characteristics of civilization, mentality, religion, culture.

The main minus of the methodology of the civilization approach is the lack of form criteria in the vision of the types of civilization. The price of seeing the same ideas given to the approach is to look for signs, which may be of a general nature, but from the other side it would allow, for the sake of particularity, to rule the suspensions. Theoretically, N.Ya. Danilevsky, cultural and historical types of civilization, there are 4 main elements: political, religious, economic-economic, cultural. Danilevsky vvazhav, scho in Russia there are a few more elements.

Tsia theory of Danilevskogo pidshtovu stays on the principle of determinism as dominance. Ale character of ts'go domіnuvannya is a foldable sense.

Yu.K. Pletnіkov zmіg vіdіliti 4 civilizational types: philosophical-anthropological, historical, technological, socio-cultural.

• 1) Philosophical and anthropological model. The whole type is the basis of the civilization approach. You will allow more intelligence without compromise on the civilization and formalization of historical activity. In general, the intelligence and historical type of suspension allows the formational pidhid, which springs an ear from the cognitive form of the individual to the social. Let's prototype this step-civilization step. It is being built from the social to the individual, like an old community of people. Civilization є here, like the life of the suspension, I will become a community of socialism. I will organize for a long time for the sake of the people and the people themselves, on the way to the civilization. So for waking Western lands of Europe from the feudal to the capitalistic harmony, the formational pidhid ignite respect for the change in power, development of the hired pratsi, manufactory. The protest of civilization explains the idea of ​​the old cycle and anthropology.
• 2) Zagalno-historical model. Civilization is a special kind of a specific suspension of alcoholic alcohol production. According to the meaning of this term, the main signs of civilization are the huge camp, power, settlement of the small type. At the huge Duma civilization to oppose barbarism, savagery.
• 3) Technological model. By means of development and formation of civilization є suspension technology of creation and development of an average life. Bagato hto rozumіє the word technology to finish at the vuz'k understanding, especially the technical sense. Ale є y shirshe and glyboke understand the word technology, the foundation for the spiritual manifestation of life. So Toynbi is a beast in respect of the etymology of this term, which is from the “instruments” as material, but spiritually, svitoglyad.
• 4) Socio-cultural model. In 20 centuries, the term "interpenetration" of terms of culture and civilization has emerged. on the early stage civilization of the dominant understanding of culture. In the synonymic view of culture, it is often represented as an understander of civilization, concretized through an understanding of the local culture, or the zeal classifications of culture, and of structural apparatuses and subject forms. There is an explanation of the meaning of culture and civilization, its intercourse and its presentation. The rise of civilization is not established with culture, but with a fall. So, for example, for O. Spengler, civilization is a constant and piece of culture. There is no success, as the completion of that result of culture. F. Brodel vvazhaє navpaki, so culture-civilization, as it didn’t reach its optimum of social, its own maturity, and didn’t take care of its growth.

Civilization, as before, is a special kind of suspension, and culture, according to the historical process, represents all types of suspension, to visit the first. The conscientious obsession of the American sociologist Z. Huntington, it is possible to go unimportant, but the civilization is due to the emergence of the widest and most historical spirit of the cultural significance of people.

Civilization is a zvnіshnіy behavioral camp, and culture is the internal camp of a people. The value of civilization and culture is not one of the only reasons. It is impossible not to mention those who have a class-wide suspension, the civilization of Edin, who wants the fruits of civilization not to be available to all.

The theory of local civilizations is based on the fact that there is a background of civilization, great historical spirituality, which may be the singing territory of that particular cultural, political, social and economic.

Arnold Toynbee, one of the founders of the theory of local civilizations, vvvazhiv that history is not a linear process. The whole process of life is not interconnected one by one civilization among the little girls of the Earth. Toynbі vіdіlyаv local and basic civilization. The main civilizations (Babylonian, Shumerska, Yellinska, Indian, Chinese too) have lost track of the history of the people, and they have infiltrated the other civilizations. Civilization of local stulyayutsya in the national framework, there are 30 pieces in the district: nimetska, Russian, American, etc. Viklik rushed because of the civilization, Toynbe was entrusted with the main ruinous forces. I will show the wiklik Bula the spirit of talented, great people.

When it comes to stagnation, it’s a stagnation to kick in, that the creative minority needs to lead the energy of the minority, the protects the energy of the minority. In such a rank, the effort of civilization to pass through the stages: inception, growth, breakdown and breakdown, so that the civilization ends up.

It is also difficult to recognize the things that are difficult when assessing the types of civilization, if the main element of any type of civilization is mentality, mentality. Mentality is the spiritual spirit of the people, whether it be a land, or a region, a homely device of svidomosty, without social and psychological support for the specialness of that suspension. All the tse is the sign of the svitorozmіnnya people, and as and the form is sub'єktivniy svіt of the individual. Based on ciches, people practice in all spheres of life - to create history. It’s a pity to finish the innocent hairstyle of spiritual, moral and intellectual structure of people. History of Formation Civilization Suspension

There are also some claims to the civilization approach, tied to the darkness of the ruinous forces of the historical process, sense and development of history.

In such a rank, within the framework of the civilization approach, all-purpose schemes are developed, which represent the geographic laws of development for all civilizations.

Civilization pidhid on the basis of a formal not a single concept. Dawn, fortunately susp_stvіlstvіtіvnіy can not find a single visas "Civilization"... However, they are unimportant to those who have a civilized view of representations by small schools of science, and how straightforwardly it is possible to meet specific criteria for a given day of civilization, at the beginning of a meaningful way of thinking civilization like a single system, how can all self-destruct social and non-social components of the historical process, such as, for example:

Natural and geographic dovkilla;

The biological nature of people and the psycho-physiological characteristics of ethnos;

Gospodarsko-virobnycha activity;

The social structure of the suspension (casti, plan, stanu, class) і social interaction, scho the winery within it;

Institution of power and management;

the sphere of spiritual wisdom, religious values, svitoglyad (mentality);

Vzaєmodiya local spіlnot and ін.

In the most zalous viglyadі civilization pidhid vistupaє yak explaining principle, the logical directness of what is opposed to that, which is necessary for the formal approach. While the structures of formations, apparently to the principle of economic determinism, the manifestation of the spiritual order is based on the economic basis, then the structures of civilization, navpaki, the economic characteristics of the suspension can be seen in the sphere of the spiritual Moreover, one of the basic foundations of civilization, as the origin of all of the characteristics, as a rule, is used by itself type of spiritual values and report to you type of specialty (mentality), which, like its own chergoy, are distinguished by the peculiarities of this particular natural-geographical center.

The father of civilization was taken in respect of the English history A. Toynbe (1889-1975) ... The 1960s, however, are rocky. became widely recognized as the pratsi of the Arabian historian and philosopher Ibn-Khaldun (unit 1332 - unit 1402), whichever came to the genial visnivs, they sent to the table the glances of the creators of the theory of civilization. So, win stverdzhuvav, how civilization occurs under the conditions of practice between the city and the village, trade, exchange, in its development of the suspension pass through the singing historical cycles; Vіdmіnnіst in the way of life of people, suspensions, wines pov'yazuvav, head rank, with the geographic center of living.

In all, the development of the mindset comes before the day and the witness of the understanding "civilization", so that you can be victorious today in science, you can see two main meanings of the same understanding:

a) civilization yak stadial phenomenon at svitovіy іstorії;

b) civilization yak local (regional) phenomenon schodo people zagalom.

Yakscho Purshia pіdhіd (stadіalno-tsivіlіzatsіyny) bazuєtsya on viznannі nayavnostі zagalnosvіtovoї tsivіlіzatsії one vіdpovіdno, єdinoї for lyudstva globalnoї іstorії yak ob'єkta Naukova vivchennya, others pіdhіd (locally tsivіlіzatsіyny) pov'yazany іz zaperechennyam zagalnosvіtovoї tsivіlіzatsії that svіtovoї іstorії on osnovі firm about self-sufficient and self-contained character of development of closed local civilizations.

It is sometimes taken in respect, the first reason, related to the development of the universal stadial laws of the all-important history, it is not the responsibility of the regional vision, but some other specificities Likewise, the protrusion of the two approaches as the essence of an integrated and differentiated historical process cannot be absolute. On one side, whether it is promoted within the framework of the first advance, the stage of the history of the history of the region can be adjusted specifically for the specific connection, some of the chronological framework and the historical form of the entire history rіznih lands that people. From the other side, at the boundaries of the other, universesal schemes are set up, bringing back to all the civilization of the stages of development.

Entry

The term іstorіography is an ambiguous term for both the former and the modern scientific tradition. The very understanding is to walk through the walnuts istoria - research and grajw - I write, at the exact translation - a description of the research. So, the first historiographer in Russia in 1747 became G.-F. Miller, later - Prince M.M. Shcherbativ. By the first decree of Oleksandr Tse Zvannya was granted 1803 r. N.M. Karamzin. In the nineteenth century, many prominent Russian historians have been denied the honorable title of historiographer. However, in the middle of the twentieth century, there was a residual form that formed a new scientific knowledge reminiscent of the term: history is the center of history of historical science.

Head of History:

one). mastering the laws of development of historical science through the development of creativity of specific ministers;

2). Introduction of the principles of historical analysis and the idea of ​​thinking along the lines of historical thought;

3). Formation of a dubious approach to tradition, specialty of the historical-historian, principles of scientific ethics.

In the early days of the day, there is a rich concept (pidhodiv), to explain the struggle and fight against the European Union and rights, to fix it from religious theories and to end it with Marxist and radical ideas,

Christmas, in the light of change, as in the Russian suspension and witness, in the literature the rest of the rock to show the interconnection and one-sidedness of glances at the history of the light of the panuval stretching over ten years of Marxist five-membered formalization of the historical process. The canonization of the nature of the historical scheme, which is panuval, giving the shit to the joke of the first steps, of the independent views of the will of people, are vocal, special, sub-active.

The control robot has two ways to make the history: civilization and format.

1. Civilization pidhid

Tsey pidhid zaphatkuvav 18 centuries. Yaskravi clerks of the theory є M. Weber, O. Spengler, A. Toynbe, and I. Among the vicarious nautsy's henchmen, bully K.M. Leontyev, N. Ya. Danilevsky, P.A. Sorokin. The word "civilization" resembles the Latin "civis", which means "mіskiy, sovereign, huge".

I will look at the main structural unit of civilization. The combination of cymbal terms was the origin of the singing rivn at the suspension development. The emergence of a place, writing, statehood, social development of the suspension, all have specific signs of civilization.

In a broad understanding of civilization, in the main, there is a high level of development of a suspicious culture.

Until the end of the hour, the hitchhikers are leading superheroes about the number of civilizations. N. Ya. Danilevsky vidіlyaє 13 self-made civilizations, A. Toynbi-6 types, O. Shpengler-8 types.

There are few positive sides to the civilization approach.

The principles of this approach can be fixed before the history of this country or of all groups. This methodology has its own peculiarity, for that, for the reason, the records for the development of the history of the administration, for the development of the individualities of the regions and the regions.

Tsya theory of transmission, it is possible to discern a complex, varied, complex process.

For the whole process, the unity and integrity of the human history is transferred. Civilization, as a system, can be adjusted between oneself. As a result, more intelligence and historical processes and fixing individuality can be made.

It is possible to assess the level of development of the regions, regions, people by the same criteria for the development of civilization.

In civilization, the main role is to introduce human spiritual, moral and intellectual factors. Of particular importance for the assessment are the characteristics of civilization, mentality, religion, culture.

The main minus of the methodology for the approach is the lack of form criteria in the vision of the types of civilization. Theoretically, N.Ya. Danilevsky, cultural and historical types of civilization, there are 4 main elements: political, religious, economic-economic, cultural.

Tsia theory of Danilevskogo pidshtovu stays on the principle of determinism as dominance. Ale character of ts'go domіnuvannya is a foldable sense.

Yu.K. Pletnіkov zmіg vіdіliti 4 civilizational types: philosophical-anthropological, historical, technological, socio-cultural.

1) Philosophical and anthropological model. The whole type is the basis of the civilization approach. You will allow more intelligence without compromise on the civilization and formalization of historical activity. Civilization pidhid explains the idea of ​​how old the old cyclicality and anthropology is born.

2) Zagalno-historical model. Civilization is a special kind of a specific suspension of alcohol production. According to the meaning of this term, the main signs of civilization are the huge camp, power, settlement of the small type. At the huge Duma civilization to oppose barbarism, savagery.

3) Technological model. By means of development and formation of civilization є suspension technology of creation and development of an average life.

4) Socio-cultural model. In 20 centuries, the term "interpenetration" of terms of culture and civilization has emerged. At the early stage of civilization, there is a dominant understanding of culture. The rise of civilization is not established with culture, but with a fall. So, for example, for O. Spengler, civilization is a constant and piece of culture. There is no success, as the completion of that result of culture. F. Brodel vvazhaє navpaki, so culture-civilization, as it didn’t reach its optimum of social, its own maturity, and didn’t take care of its growth.

The theory of local civilizations is based on the fact that there is a background of civilization, great historical spirituality, which may be the singing territory of that particular cultural, political, social and economic.

Arnold Toynbee, one of the founders of the theory of local civilizations, vvvazhiv that history is not a linear process. The whole process of life is not interconnected one by one civilization among the little girls of the Earth. Toynbі vіdіlyаv local and basic civilization. The main civilizations (Babylonian, Shumerska, Yellinska, Indian, Chinese too) have lost track of the history of the people, and they have infiltrated the other civilizations. Civilization of local stulyayutsya in the national framework, there are 30 pieces in the district: nimetska, Russian, American, etc. Viklik rushed because of the civilization, Toynbe was entrusted with the main ruinous forces. In such a rank, the effort of civilization to pass through the stages: inception, growth, breakdown and breakdown, so that the civilization ends up.

In such a rank, within the framework of the civilization approach, all-purpose schemes are being developed, which represent the general laws of development for all civilizations.

2. Formats_yniy pіdhіd

Marx had a head position when explaining the ruinous forces of the historical process of periodization and history of the loan by the understanding of the suspension-economic formations. The fundamentals of being suspicious-political organization K. Marx became the most common way of making a decision. The main vyrobnichi vіdnosini є vіdnі vіlnosti. All business development in the winter stages of development, including suspension-political formation.

Marks letting go of the step of the stage in the development of the suspension:

one). Primobutne communal;

2). Rabovlasnitska;

3). Feudal;

4). Capitalistic;

5). Communist.

The founders of the social revolution will change from one suspension-economic form to the last one. The emergence of a new form of form will begin to change the class, which will revolutionize all spheres of life. The Marxist theory has a significant role to hope for revolution and class. The main ruinous power of history was the class struggle. "Locomotives of history" after Marx, revolutions.

Stretching the remaining 80 rocky points of view, how to rally on a formal approach, the concept of history is materialistic. The main advantage of the ideology is those who, as soon as they come up, explain the model of historical development. Human history is represented by a natural, progressive, observational process. It is clear that the main steps to the process, etc., are clearly seen.

In the formal approach, the role of the most important factors comes, and other factors are introduced to people. To go, how people are deprived of the gwent from the theory of objectified mechanism, how to destroy the historical development. To behave in such a way as to underestimate the human, special zmist of the historical process.

Formation of the concept of transferring, the development of the historical process is going from classless primary community through classes to classless communal phase. Theoretically, communism, on the basis of such a bulo, it’s beleaguered zusil, in times of age, if the skin brings us reproach for our forces, but trim it for needs.

Visnovok

Formation process until the historical process of transferring the formations, starting to lay down the development of material development. Marx did not keep the global character of such a character, but his followers tried to do it. I want to happy step development of the suspension because of the lack of satisfaction with the formal intelligence of the historical process; Civilization pidhid, on the basis of a formal one, I think I respect you at economical moments, and at the social and cultural level of support, spiritually imposed. It's worth talking about the continuity and evolution of development. As for the formal approach - zoom, straightforwardness, then civilization - the versatility of history. However, it’s unimportant in the middle of the mindset of history in that first trip, it’s unimportant in all the pluses and minus in the skin, I’m offended when I’m coming - the formative and civilization process - I can see it. one one. Ymovіrno, the maybutny suspіlstvoznavtsyam will succumb to the offense cі go to synthesize, uniqueness extreme dermal from them.

The change of the basic paradigms of the vital sciences

The last hour at the turn of the century, the main approach to the development of the historical process was the theory of formations, formulated and scientifically framed by K. Marx. However, due to the rosette Radiansky Union Seryoznyh zmіn conceived and the basic scientific paradigm. In the history of the social position, taking the civilization pidhid. About the new one can be found in our statty.

N. Danilevsky and civilization pidhid

It is impossible to say that such a perspective of looking at the history of people is absolutely new for our country. Even on the cob of the last century, Danilevsky's miraculous Russian teachings stood on the ear of the last century. Years later, they decided to announce to the group of winners, who promoted the titles of local civilization in this way. The essence of the yogi polyag is at the examination of the skin civilization as a kind of cultural and historical identity.

The essence of civilization

There are a lot of sounds, but the same paradigm is necessary for the development of singing fever. However, the civilization pidhid, in the form of a formal one, cannot be boasted of. Everything is on the right in that, on the bitter stage, there is no single theory, but the whole idea itself is not the same, as the supremacy of similar methodological and methodological principles. In the wake of the day, look at such misters, like Toynbi, Spengler, Sorokin, who, as the fundamental basis of their thought, respected the look of the backward history like the total conglomerate of development around the world.

Civilization pidhid, despite the great difference in concepts, adhere to this principle. In the first place, we see a substitute for the descriptive nature of the so-called "minds" of the processes. In a different way, optimism, the authorities work in advance of the periods, step by step change in the ways of enchanting and inculcating rationalism. In the third place, if for those who are not familiar with the formal approach, the history of the world has not been given, then the ideological opposition is mainly based on the local visibility of quiet people. Nareshty, quarterly, civilization prior to the establishment of history, I will base my respect on the cultural development and development of territories, the establishment of a single cultural space.

Characteristics of the main term of the paradigm

p align = "justify"> It is a special place in the historical impulses of those who were given the priest of the "civilization". Vono, obviously, there is also a little specialness among young people of the past. Protect in the main stench is practical din: civilization є by a complex of different people, tied between themselves by their foreign history and cultural traditions.

At the same time, it’s practical to do everything, but it’s especially important to not be so supportive of individuals, as they set them up for social spirits.

Prospects for a new concept

In such a rank, the civilization process before the development of history є to reach the foldable and intricate methodological approaches, which are based on the adoption of the suspension from the position of the third cultural development.

2. Civilization prior to history

Still the same concept, as a claim to the hiding place of social phenomena and processes, є civilization process to the history of people. The essence of the whole concept in the most important form of the field is in the fact that human history is not just that, since the essence of human civilizations is not tied one to one. None of them have a lot of coolies, some of them vіdomі name, yak O. Spengler (1880-1936), A. Toynbі (1889-1975).

Bilya dzherel tsієї concept, vіm, as in front, Buv Russian misler N. Ya.Danilevsky (1822-1885). Published in 1869 p. creation “Russia and Europe. A glance at the cultural and political views of the words of the word to the nimetsko-romance ”, before the speech, which has not yet been evaluated by the whole world, in a new, original look at the history of the people. On Danilevsky's thought, natural system The history of the polyagus is in the development of cultural and historical types of development, which was just a little short of the last. The very essence of these types, as before speech, do not expect one to settle down, and become the history of people. In chronological order, the following cultural and historical types are seen: “I) Egyptian, 2) Chinese, 3) Assyrian-Babylonian-Finnish, Chaldean, or even seven-times), 4) Greek, 6) Roman , 9) new-semitic, or Arabian and 10) Nimetsko-Roman, or European. Before them, it is possible, mabut, two American tips: Mexican and Peruvian, as they lost their lives by the rapist's death and did not rise to the development of their development. " The very people of the cikh cultural and historical types were spiritually robbed of the history of the people. Kozhen from them is developing independently, by a powerful way, depending on the particularities of their spiritual nature and the specifics of the new minds of life. Appointment of types of distribution on two groups - in the first to enter those, which have begun to advance in their history, but in the future, the role of the history of the people has made sense to them. Such offensive types of boules: Egyptian, Assyrian-Babylonian-financial, Greek, Roman, Jewish and Nimetsko-Roman, or European. Another group has gone to introduce the Chinese and Indian civilization, as they evolved and developed all by themselves. The very reason for the stench is that the sutta evolve at the pace of the development of the European one.

For the development of cultural and historical types, where civilizations are guilty before the recognition of singing minds, such as, indeed, Danilevsky calls them the laws of historical deeds. Prior to them, it was recognized: 1) the appearance of one of the number of people, of which tribes, and of the family of peoples, could combine with one; 2) political independence, which allows for the development of natural and natural development; 3) self-awareness of the skin cultural and historical type, how to wriggle for a great deal of strangers in front of them, in front of any other modern civilizations; 4) civilization, powering the skin cultural and historical type, that is, if it’s not enough power, growth and wealth, if it’s flexible ethnographic elements, its storage, - if it stinks, being a federal system, it’s crummy. 5) the development of cultural and historical types in all the nearest to be likened to those large-scale one-year-old growers, which may be the period of growing up, unassigned trivial, ale period of flowers hanging and short-growing fruit is called

Nadal civilization pidhid reminiscent of a new wizard, that foundation, formed by Danilevsky, has become very invisible. In Spengler's work, one kind of one culture is represented in the viglyadi of the impotent independent cultures, which lie in the basis of the state's establishment, that is, deterministic. One light culture is dumb and cannot be. Usoogo Nimetsky philosopher knows 8 cultures: Egyptian, Indian, Vavilonska, Chinese, Apollonivska (Greco-Roman), magical (Visantiysko-Arabic), faustivska culture (Western) On the way to the Russian-Siberian culture, how to form. Throughout the skin culture, to lay down in the inner life cycle that will love about a thousand rocky. At the end of the cycle, the culture of the world is transformed into the station of civilization. The principle view of culture from the civilization of the field is that it remains as a synonym for soulless intellect, a dead "dovzhini", so yak persha is the whole life, creative power and development.

In Toynbe's civilization, it is manifested in the comprehension of the suspension-historical development of the people on the turn of the circulation of local civilizations. They enjoy their predecessors, Toynbi preserves the knowledge of a single history of the people and their visibility, if they are not tied together with closed civilizations. Some of the winners have nailed 21 civilizations, and then, having surrounded the number up to 13 without urahuvannya other rows, since they did not see and did not get a proper development. All the smart and smart civilizations for their own and the most important parameters in terms of the day, equivalent and efficient. The skin from them go through one and the same development cycle - viniknennya, zrostannya, nadlam and raskladannya, as a rule. Identical, for their day, the social and the processes, which are transformed into the skin from civilization, allowing the formulation of certain empirical laws in the stable development of the forecast, at the latest So, on the thought of Toynbi, by the ruinous power of the suspension development in the form of "creative minority", or "thinking of the elite", as in the minds of the minds, it’s possible to build up in suspense, to take the power to overcome the power to overcome є, his own essence, inert and immature to creative original performance. Development and development of civilization without a priori lie in the building of the "creative men" to serve as a kind person for an inert greatness and its intellectual, spiritual and administrative authority. Iakshcho "elita" is not in virishity, the optimal rank of Chergov's social and economic problem, posed by the course of the historical development, out of the "creative menshini" to be transformed into a panic minority, in order to carry out one's own efforts to change, not but a hobby. Such a situation leads to the weakening of the foundations of civilization, and then to the end of the day. At the twentieth century, behind Toynbi, five main civilizations have been saved - Chinese, Indian, Islamic, Russian and Western.